Rajasthan Politics / Change of power in Rajasthan is decided by these 119 seats - even ministers cannot save credibility

Rajasthan Politics: Rajasthan Assembly elections have been formally announced. With the sounding of the election bugle, BJP has announced the names of candidates for 41 seats. There has been a trend of change of power in the state for three and a half decades. There are 119 assembly seats behind the tradition of changing the government every five years, whose change in mood spoils the entire political game. Not only this, there is a trend of current veteran ministers also losing elections. Due to this, the heartbeat of Congress has increased while BJP is hopeful of its comeback. It remains to be seen whether this tradition continues in the politics of Rajasthan this time or whether Congress succeeds in breaking it?

Power changing due to trend of 119 seats

There are a total of 200 assembly seats in Rajasthan, out of which BJP is very strong on 60 seats and it has been continuously winning here. Similarly, the position of Congress has always been better on 21 seats, it has not had to face defeat here. In this way, Congress and BJP MLAs are traditionally winning on 81 seats, but the mood of voters has been changing on 119 seats. These 119 seats write the story of change of power in Rajasthan every five years. The entire focus of BJP and Congress is on these 119 seats. The voters here change both the party and the MLA in every election. Voting is done keeping in mind the activism of the candidates, due to which the political mood has been changing.

BJP's strong seat

Looking at the data of assembly elections held from 1972 to 2018, it is clear that there are 60 assembly seats where BJP has been winning anywhere from twice to six times. BJP has been winning on 13 seats more than four times, there are 13 seats which have been captured thrice while it is winning on 33 assembly seats. The seats won in the last four elections include Rajsamand, Udaipur, Ladpura, Jhalrapatan, Nagaur, Sanganer, Revdar, Khanpur, Bhilwara, Sojat, Beawar, Rajganjmandi and Phulera. At the same time, the seats where BJP is winning thrice include Sursagar, Bhinmal, Kota South, Bundi, Ajmer North, Ajmer South, Bikaner East, Siwana, Alwar City, Malviya Nagar, Ratangarh, Vidyadhar Nagar and Asind seats. .

Congress dominated seat

Even though Congress currently holds 108 seats, it has dominance in only 21 seats. Congress is winning these seats two or five times. Congress has been able to win only one seat five times. There is Sardarpura seat of Jodhpur, from where Ashok Gehlot is the CM and has registered for Badi seat four times. There are six seats on which Congress has been winning for three consecutive elections. These seats are Sardar Shahr, Jhunjhunu, Bagidaura, Fatehpur, Sapotra and Barmer seats. Apart from this, there are 13 seats where Congress has been in control since the last two elections. These seats are Deeg Kumar, Sanchaur, Badi Sadri, Chittorgarh, Kotputli, Sardarshahar.

Trend of ministers losing elections

The changing political mood of voters in 119 seats in Rajasthan in every election not only leads to change of power but also makes the present ministers redundant. In the 2018 assembly elections, 15 out of 18 cabinet ministers of BJP lost the elections and four out of 13 ministers of state could win. Similarly, in the 2013 assembly elections, only three ministers of the Gehlot-led Congress government could win the elections and 12 cabinet ministers had to face defeat. Similarly, out of 18 ministers of state, only two could win and 16 had to face defeat.

In the 2008 assembly elections, out of 20 BJP cabinet ministers, 9 lost the elections and only 11 could save their seats. Out of 13 ministers of state, only three could win and 10 had to face defeat. Similarly, in the 2003 assembly elections, two Deputy Chief Ministers of BJP had to face defeat. In the 2003 assembly elections, out of 25 cabinet ministers of the Gehlot-led government, only 7 ministers could win and 18 had to face defeat. Out of 22 ministers of state, only three had registered victory and 19 had to face defeat.

Will this trend change in 2023?

The bugle of Rajasthan assembly elections has been sounded. BJP and Congress are working with full force, but due to the election trend, the heartbeat of both the parties has increased. BJP is hopeful that if the tradition of change of power continues then its return is possible. The entire focus of Congress and BJP is on those 119 seats in the state, where the attitude of voters changes in every election. Due to this, the concern of the ministers of Gehlot government has also increased and they are facing the challenge of preserving their seats. In such a situation, everyone's eyes are on the Congress list. Which ministers does Congress give tickets to again and whom does it drop?